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Global equity markets started off the year strong as resilient economic data buoyed investor sentiment. The U.S. remains on pace for a soft landing, as falling inflation and rising real wages should offset lower excess savings and tighter credit conditions.
The economic momentum of the 1st quarter continued into the 2nd, providing another positive quarter for equity markets. Initially, investors dialed back expectations for rate cuts from the Fed as economic overheating concerns took hold.
2022 brought a decidedly sharp end to the post-pandemic bull market. What markets originally thought would be a gradual central bank tightening campaign turned into the fastest series of rate hikes in history. The year was dominated by the shift higher in interest rates and its impact across all financial markets as risk assets repriced dramatically.
The final quarter of 2023 brought a welcome relief rally for investors, capping off a strong calendar year return for risk assets. After the slight reality check in the 3rd quarter, growing excitement that central banks may cut interest rates sooner…
Both global equity and fixed income markets produced negative returns over the 3rd quarter as market participants recalibrated growth and policy expectations. From a macroeconomic standpoint, the trends from the 2nd quarter continued into the 3rd. Growth in…
Market narratives and asset prices fluctuated throughout the 1st quarter as market participants were forced to adjust to a rapidly shifting investment landscape. In January, risk assets rallied on the idea of an immaculate disinflation characterized by resilient global growth…
Global equity markets continued to climb the wall of worry in the 2nd quarter. The banking stress in the aftermath of the SVB failure seems to have resulted in limited lending restraint thus far. Additionally, the bipartisan agreement to suspend the US debt ceiling until 2025 means…
